Cook PVI
R+1
Last Margin
6.6%
Candidates
Kristen McDonald Rivet
US House — Michigan 8th District
Michigan's 8th is the definition of a swing district — a freshman Democrat holding a seat in a Trump+2 district who'll face a full-court Republican press in 2026.
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Paul Junge
US House — Michigan 8th District
The Republican who came closest to flipping Michigan's 8th in 2024 is back — a former federal prosecutor with Bay City roots and a second shot at a freshman Democrat.
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Coverage
2026-03-21Democrats Need a Net Gain of 6. These Are the Seats.
Republicans hold the House by a razor margin. Democrats have their target list. The question is whether the political environment in 2026 is enough to flip it.
Michigan's Senate Primary Just Got Picked Apart by the Party's Two Wings
In eight days, Warren backed McMorrow and ModSquad backed Stevens. The Michigan primary is now an open proxy war for the soul of the Democratic Party.
The Iran War Splits Michigan's Democratic Primary Wide Open
El-Sayed's Hasan Piker rallies drew national backlash and a direct rebuke from McMorrow — now the same conflict Sen. Slotkin says is costing Michigan drivers 60 cents a gallon is becoming the race's live wire.
Michigan's Open Senate Seat Is Already a War
Gary Peters is retiring, the NRSC is already spending, and Michigan just flipped to Trump. The most competitive open Senate seat in the country has no candidates yet.
The Establishment Picks a Side in Michigan — and It Immediately Gets Messy
ModSquad's endorsement of Haley Stevens on Friday crystallized the Michigan Senate primary's fault lines — and a blown-up Axios correction made it bigger news than it might have been.